原文：The AI Revolution Part I，The AI Revolution Part II

中文摘要

人工智能是研究、设计和应用智能机器或智能系统，来模拟人类智能活动的能力，以延伸人类智能的科学。人工智能的概念很宽泛，不要认为人工智能就是机器人，例如Siri背后的软件和数据就是人工智能，但Siri本身并没有机器人这个组成部份。我们日常生活中有许多东西都是人工智能，只是我们没有意识到而已。我们同样没有意识到的就是人工智能的发展速度。

未来学家Kurzweil认为整个20世纪100年的进步，按照2000年的速度只要20年就能达成，2000年的发展速度是20世纪平均发展速度的5倍。他认为从2000年开始只要花14年就能达成整个20世纪一百年的进步，而之后从2014年开始只要花7年，到2021年就能达到又一个20世纪一百年的进步。几十年之后，我们每年都能达成好几次相当于整个20世纪的发展，再往后，说不定每个月都能达成一次。按照加速回报定律，Kurzweil认为人类在21世纪的进步将是20世纪的1000倍。所以当前我们正站在变革的边缘，而这次变革的意义将和人类诞生一样重大。

随着人工智能的发展，未来将是怎样？有一半以上的人工智能专家认为在2060年能够有90%的可能见到超人工智能的实现。超人工智能的实现会对人类社会产生巨大的影响，对人工智能专家的问卷调查显示，52%认为结果会是好或者非常好的，31%认为会是糟糕的或者非常糟糕的，只有17%的人认为结果会是不好不坏的。再往后发展，人类在超人工智能的环境下会灭绝还是永生？这是每个人都应该深思的问题！

Youdao English Version

Artificial intelligence is a research, design and application of intelligent machines or intelligence system, ability to simulate human intelligence activity, to extend the science of human intelligence. The concept of artificial intelligence is very broad, don’t think that is a robot of artificial intelligence, such as the software and data behind Siri is artificial intelligence, but Siri itself is not the robot the parts. There are many things in our daily life are artificial intelligence, it’s just we don’t realize that. We also don’t realize is the development of artificial intelligence.

Futurists Kurzweil thinks the progress of the whole of the 20th century in 100, according to the 2000 speed can reach as long as 20 years, the pace of development in 2000 is 5 times the average speed of the 20th century. He thinks that began in 2000 as long as spend 14 years can achieve the progress of the whole 20th century one hundred, and then as long as 7 years, since 2014 to 2021 can achieve a 20th century one hundred years of progress. Decades later, we can achieve several times every year is equivalent to the development of the whole of the 20th century, more recently, perhaps can achieve once a month. In accordance with the law of accelerating returns, Kurzweil believes the progress of mankind in the 21st century will be 1000 times of the 20th century. So at present we are standing at the edge of the change, and the significance of the change shall be born and human as significant.

With the development of artificial intelligence, the future will be how? More than half of the artificial intelligence experts believe in 2060 to 90% of could see the realization of artificial intelligence. Super implementation of artificial intelligence will have a great influence on human society, the artificial intelligence expert questionnaire survey, 52% believe the result will be good or very good, 31% think is bad or very bad, only 17% of people think that the result is bad is not bad. Again in the future development of human beings in the environment of artificial intelligence become extinct or eternal life? This is everyone should ponder question!

Grammarlied English Version

Artificial Intelligence is a research, design, and application of intelligent machines or intelligence system, ability to simulate human intelligence activity, to extend the science of human intelligence. The concept of artificial intelligence is very broad, don’t think that is a robot of artificial intelligence, such as the software and data behind Siri is artificial intelligence, but Siri itself is not the robot the parts. There are many things in our daily life are artificial intelligence, it is just we do not realize that. We also don’t fulfill the development of artificial intelligence.

Futurists Kurzweil thinks the progress of the whole of the 20th century in 100, according to the 2000 speed can reach as long as 20 years, the pace of development in 2000 is five times the average speed of the 20th century. He thinks that began in 2000 as long as spend 14 years can achieve the progress of the whole 20th century one hundred, and then as long as seven years since 2014 to 2021 can reach the 20th century one hundred years of progress. Decades later, we can achieve several times every year is equivalent to the development of the whole of the 20th century, more recently, perhaps can achieve once a month. Following the law of accelerating returns, Kurzweil believes the progress of humankind in the 21st century will be 1000 times of the 20th century. So at present, we are standing at the edge of the change, and the significance of the change shall be born and human as significant.

With the development of artificial intelligence, the future will be how? More than half of the artificial intelligence experts believe in 2060 to 90% of could see the realization of artificial intelligence. Super implementation of artificial intelligence will have a significant influence on human society, the artificial intelligence expert questionnaire survey, 52% believe the result will be good or excellent, 31% think is bad or terrible, only 17% of people believe that the result is no better no worse. Again in the future development of human beings in the environment of artificial intelligence become extinct or eternal life? Everyone should ponder the question!